The price of losing friendship with China will be too high for India to bear. China mistakenly believes that its economic and military superiority enables it to dominate the region, and India should adhere to its line. Is it really? Has China ever considered the impact of having the second most powerful nation in Asia as an enemy? Does he realize that over time, India can reduce its economic dependence on China, the loss of which would be catastrophic for China.
He may have ignored the first direct message sent by India when it imposed restrictions on Chinese investment. China may now feel secure on Punchshill’s Indian politics and non-interference in its internal affairs, but as soon as India changes tactics, it may confuse China. China suggests that its larger military budget and better potential hybrid warfare with non-kinetic weapons will give it an edge.
However, he must understand that the final victory will flow from the seizure of the declared territory. To do this, he would need to seize the Indian defensive positions occupied by the same troops, which showed confidence, ferocity and unwillingness to retreat, despite the disagreements in Galvan. In 1962, despite poor armament, logistics and clothing, an Indian soldier stood his ground. The Indian army is much stronger today.
For China, India is a market that it cannot lose. His desperate desire for India to join the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RSEP) proposed by ASEAN is due to the size of the Indian market. China may seem indifferent to India’s calls for a boycott of Chinese goods, but he is worried. The Chinese edition said that a boycott of Chinese products will not bring anything good to India. The government’s decision to ban Chinese applications, reduce imports of electricity and solar energy, block the participation of Chinese concerns in Indian development projects and monitor Chinese investments has affected China.
The ban on Chinese applications in India will imitate other countries. The representative of China and his ambassador to India regularly expressed concern about this decision, but to no avail. India is a country that all over the world is striving for as a strategic military and economic partner. This is due to its growing power. The Indian armed forces are the only ones in Asia who challenge Chinese power. The fact that India does not seek confrontation is explained by the fact that it wants peace and development. India has repeatedly reiterated that its alliances are not directed against China.
India never participated with the United States in its free shipping in the South China and East China Seas. Would China wish India to join such operations? Globally, India has several ways to embarrass China. Giving more prominence to the Dalai Lama and the Tibetan government in exile, negatively commenting on China’s actions in the South China and East China Seas and as the head of the World Health Assembly a direct global investigation into the origin of coronavirus in Wuhan are just some of the measures. Confusion can be added by abandoning one unified China policy and raising votes in support of Tibet, Taiwan and Hong Kong.
That would be painful, since such calls would come from a country that maintained a deliberate silence on Chinese domestic issues. India can heighten China’s concern by constantly increasing pressure, both military and diplomatic, on Pakistan. She could begin to openly support the Balochistan rebel movement in the same areas in which China supported the northeast rebel movement in India. This could lead to the fact that all of his KZEC projects, especially in Balochistan and at the final stage near Guadar, would be banned.
This would make the operation of the port of Gwadar a serious problem. In Southeast Asia and Europe, China is rapidly losing its power over nations. His offensive activities and the diplomacy of the wolf warrior pushed him aside. The US is challenging China economically and militarily in the Indo-Pacific region. ASEAN countries come together to criticize China. Australia wants to strengthen military ties with India to confront China. In short, while China is rejected, India is accepted. The post of Covid-19, while China lost trust and friends, India won to a much greater extent.
So far, India has never been a threat to China, has never sought to go beyond what it currently possesses, has never sought to threaten Chinese CPEC projects passing through disputed territory. However, when China has resorted to unilateral action, India may be forced to revise its policies and act in strong national interests, ignoring China’s objections. The Indian armed forces have shown that they will never retreat under any form of threat and have the strength to resist Chinese aggression.
It is extremely important for China to reconsider its views on India, and not vice versa. At the stage when China alone fights the world, it should seek cooperation with India, not hostility. In the long run, enmity with India will negatively affect China. He needs friendly India more than India needs friendly China.